Category: Empire and Decline

The Arsonist’s Lament: Robert Kagan, Victoria Nuland, and the Neocon Family Business of Perpetual War

A study in the audacity of those who set the house on fire and then write op-eds about how surprising the smoke is.

The Bahrain Parable: A Cautionary Tale for South Korea, Japan, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Thailand

Bahrain accepted Fifth Fleet risks and a dollar peg, then faced a 134% debt burden and Washington’s withdrawal of its guarantees.

Never Is Hope So Pure As In The Certainty Of Loss: UAE’s OPEC Exit and the Structural Dissolution of the Petrodollar

OPEC production fell 27% amid a closed Hormuz, leaving the UAE’s departure as evidence that the oil cartel cannot govern the crisis.

The Optimal Strategy for Losing the American Empire

How Trump Ensures America’s Decline at Maximum Cost to Itself and Its Allies

The Self-Inflicted Collapse: How Trump Handed the World to Everyone Else

A global accounting of American strategic suicide and the multipolar order rising from the wreckage.

Americans, Your World Just Got More Expensive and More Dangerous

The global order America built is collapsing, and nobody in Washington will tell you what replaces it or what it will cost you.

Dear South Korea, You Have Been Diagnosed with a Fatal American Dependency Cancer

Seoul should get on the phone with Canada, Japan, China, India, Brazil and the Gulf. The symptoms are identical, and so is the prognosis.

The Real US Target in Iran, Is the Railroad, Not the Oil

The intervention in Iran is not primarily about nuclear weapons, regime change or even oil. It is about a railroad, and about avoiding competition.

The Foundation for War Crimes: A Factual Record of Trump’s Iran War and Where It’s Going Part 2

Five scenarios assess a war launched without congressional authorization, after evidence undermines claims that negotiations work.

The Foundation for War Crimes: A Factual Record of Trump’s Iran War and Where It’s Going

A factual record compares Washington’s account of Operation Epic Fury with military, economic, and diplomatic evidence from 2017 to March 2026.