Cover illustration for the article The Hit: Who Ordered the Destruction of Iran and How Much It Cost

The Hit: Who Ordered the Destruction of Iran and How Much It Cost

This is a hit. Not a policy. Not a strategy. A contract killing dressed in flags and talking points.

The target is Iran, a country of 90 million people whose mid‑range missiles cannot reach the United States. The contractors are a rotating cast of politicians, spies, generals, think‑tank operatives, and billionaire donors who have spent decades circling Tehran the way a cartel circles a rival’s territory: sanctions to starve it, covert ops to destabilize it, and now an armada parked offshore to finish it.

Everyone involved has a motive. None of them is “freedom.” Here are their names, their acts, and their payoffs.


Count One: Mike Pompeo, Wesley Mouch with a security clearance

In Ayn Rand’s Atlas Shruggeda book most of Washington claims to have read but hasn’t, there is a character named Wesley Mouch. Mouch has no talent, no principles, and no ideas. What he has is an animal instinct for power: he attaches himself to whoever is on top, serves them with total obedience, betrays them the instant someone bigger comes along, and never stops climbing. He produces nothing. He builds nothing. He destroys everything he touches, not out of malice, but out of the sheer gravitational pull of a man whose only skill is crawling upward.

Mike Pompeo is Wesley Mouch with a security clearance.

First in his class at West Point (not because he was brilliant, but because he was obedient. Congressman from Kansas) not because he had convictions, but because the Koch brothers needed a seat filled. CIA Director (not because he understood intelligence, but because Trump needed a loyalist who wouldn’t ask questions. Secretary of State) not because he had a vision for American diplomacy, but because the last guy got fired for occasionally telling the truth.

At every rung, the same pattern: find the most powerful person in the room, tell them what they want to hear, do what they want done, and never, not once, exhibit a single original thought that might threaten the relationship. When Trump wanted confrontation with Iran, Pompeo delivered “maximum pressure.” When Netanyahu wanted the JCPOA killed, Pompeo killed it. When Adelson wanted regime change, Pompeo signaled it. When Mossad wanted cover for operatives inside Iran, Pompeo gave them a public endorsement on social media while Iranians were being gunned down in the streets.

On January 2, 2026, this man (a man who boasted on camera that at the CIA “we lied, we cheated, we stole”) posted: “Happy New Year to every Iranian in the streets. Also to every Mossad agent walking beside them.” Then: “Riots in dozens of cities and the Basij under siege, Mashed, Tehran, Zahedan. Next stop: Baluchistan.” Then: “47 years of this regime; POTUS 47. Coincidence?”

He was taking a victory lap. People were dying in the streets, and Pompeo was preening on social media like a fraternity pledge who just got a nod from the chapter president. That is not statesmanship. It is the behavior of a man who has spent his entire career sniffing for the approval of whoever sits above him, and who has finally found a cause violent enough to let him do it in public.

Then Mossad itself posted in Farsi: “Go out together into the streets. The time has come. We are with you not only from a distance and verbally. We are with you in the field.”

Not from a distance. Not verbally. In the field.

The Jerusalem Post covered it. Not one major American newspaper followed up. No reporter asked Pompeo what he meant. No editor assigned anyone to find out whether CIA operatives were alongside Mossad’s. Because investigating Pompeo’s tweet would mean confronting the possibility that the United States government helped orchestrate a bloodbath, and Pompeo’s whole career is built on the certainty that no one in Washington will ever make him answer for anything.

Wesley Mouch destroyed a fictional economy. Mike Pompeo is helping destroy a real country of 90 million people, and he’s doing it the same way Mouch would: by following orders, kissing the right rings, and never once stopping to ask whether any of it is true, necessary, or sane. The only difference is that Mouch was a cautionary tale. Pompeo is on the shortlist for 2028.

His motive: Career advancement. Every patron he has served (Trump, Netanyahu, Adelson) rewards loyalty to the Iran‑destruction project. Pompeo’s entire post‑government future (book deals, board seats, a presidential run) depends on staying useful to the people who want Tehran in ashes.


Count Two: Donald Trump, the man who lit the fuse because he was told it would look strong

On January 12, 2026, Trump posted on Truth Social: “Iran Patriots, PROTEST, TAKE INSTITS!!! HELP IS ON ITS WAY.” When reporters asked what “help” meant, he said military action was among the options.

The CIA then published a Farsi‑language recruitment message on X, the agency’s “most explicit Persian‑language public outreach effort” ever, urging Iranians to contact Langley through secure channels.

According to Alastair Crooke, former British diplomat and MI6 veteran, CIA‑trained MEK fighters and Kurdish insurgents were inserted into Iran through corridors in Kermanshah province, trained at a U.S. facility in Armenia housing 3,000 MEK operatives and at bases in northeastern Syria. Their instructions: create maximum killing and maximum chaos, the “management of savagery” playbook. Young men paid $10 to kill random bystanders. Older men paid $5 to set fires and attack ambulances. Women with cameras broadcasting the carnage abroad. Rooftop shooters firing into police to provoke return fire into crowds.

Between January 8 and 10, Iranian security forces responded with mass murder, DShK machine guns on city streets, snipers targeting heads and hearts, wounded protesters executed in hospital beds, bodies in mass graves, families billed for the bullets.

Trump’s “help” was a CIA‑Mossad provocation campaign that got thousands of Iranians killed and gave him footage for the next escalation.

Even Israel’s own intelligence admits the insurrection failed. Iran cracked Starlink, rolled up the CIA‑Mossad network, and held every institution of state intact. Israeli intelligence told Trump directly: it “did not come close” to toppling the regime, and a standoff air attack won’t either.

His motive: Alastair Crooke nailed it (Trump wanted “a big event, a quick victory, clean, short, no entanglement.” He was looking for a Maduro‑style decapitation: kill the leader, swap in a puppet, take the win to the midterms. When that failed, he was stuck) unable to escalate without catastrophic risk, unable to retreat without looking weak. And for Trump, looking weak is the only unforgivable sin.


Count Three: Benjamin Netanyahu, the foreign leader who owns American foreign policy

Six visits to the Trump White House since January 2025, more than any head of state by a wide margin. Every visit produces a new escalation against Israel’s enemies.

On December 28, 2025, Netanyahu flew to Mar‑a‑Lago and delivered the “new Israeli doctrine”: forget the nuclear issue, destroy Iran’s ballistic missiles. He told U.S. envoy Keith Kellogg: Israel will oppose any nuclear deal. Without what Netanyahu called a “kosher label,” no agreement survives in Washington. He told Kellogg’s team in literal terms: “I will oppose it. You won’t get endorsement. And if you don’t get Israel’s endorsement, it won’t work. It won’t run in the United States. You will appear a loser.”

A foreign head of state told the American president: You will not make peace unless I approve it, and if you try, I will destroy you politically at home.

Israel’s longer‑term objective, according to Crooke, is to balkanize Iran, setting up constitutions for Kurdish, Baluchi, and Azeri regions, dismembering the country and having Iranians killing each other along ethnic lines, “rather as they’ve achieved in Syria.”

His motive: Survival. Netanyahu faces an October election. A weakened or destroyed Iran eliminates Israel’s only serious regional deterrent, locks in the “Greater Israel” territorial project, and gives him a war‑leader narrative to run on. Every Iranian who dies is a campaign ad.


Count Four: Miriam Adelson, the woman buying the war

Israeli‑American casino billionaire. Widow of Sheldon Adelson. FDD mega‑donor. Gave $106 million to Trump’s 2024 campaign through the Preserve America super PAC. Trump himself told a crowd she has “$60 billion in her account” and joked that she “loves Israel” more than the United States, a “joke” she declined to deny. At the White House Hanukkah reception in December 2025, she offered another $250 million if Trump pursued a third term, and he announced it to the room like an auction bid.

Her motive: Ideology and investment. The Adelsons have bankrolled the Iran‑destruction project for over a decade, through FDD, through direct political spending, through personal relationships with Netanyahu and Trump. For Adelson, a destroyed Iran is not a policy outcome. It is the return on a $350+ million political investment.


Count Five: The Foundation for Defense of Democracies, the think tank that writes the kill orders

On January 9, 2026, FDD published its blueprint in The Atlantic: “How Trump Could Help the People of Iran”, arguing he could “topple the Iranian regime if he acts swiftly and decisively.”

On January 12, FDD CEO Mark Dubowitz went on the School of War Podcast and the Generation Jihad podcast to declare the regime “weaker than ever” and push for action. On January 13, he published an op‑ed in a major outlet demanding Trump “give them a final shove,” calling for “targeted military and cyber strikes, maximum financial pressure, diplomatic isolation,” and concluding: “History will not judge America by how carefully it managed this regime, but by whether it finally had the resolve to end it.”

On February 13, FDD released a podcast episode titled “A Reagan‑Approved Blueprint for Iran,” explicitly advocating regime change while insisting “regime change doesn’t require invasion.” On February 23, Dubowitz declared, “Trump’s goal should not be another temporary bargain that preserves the regime. He should seek the removal of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, his son, his other possible successors, and the senior leadership of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.”

FDD’s major donors: Sheldon and Miriam Adelson ($1.5 million+), Paul Singer ($3.6 million), Bernard Marcus ($10.7 million). These billionaires fund the papers that become the talking points that become the wars.

FDD’s motive: Institutional survival and donor service. FDD exists to advocate for the destruction of Iran. If Iran is no longer a target, FDD has no reason to exist, and its donor pipeline dries up. War is their business model.


Count Six: Retired General Jack Keane, the defense contractor who plays an analyst on TV

On February 7, 2026, Fox News “senior strategic analyst” Jack Keane went on air and declared: “I think we’re coming down to the reality that the military option is, indeed, the best option here.” He said Trump faces “this historic opportunity that no other president has had” to achieve “regime collapse.”

On February 15, he was back: Iran’s nuclear negotiation is a sham, military force is the answer. On February 20, Trump had a “strategic opportunity” to strike. On February 22: warning about Iran’s nuclear capability was issued while urging the U.S. to “bolster military posture.”

What Fox News does not tell its viewers: Jack Keane is chairman of AM General, the company that manufactures the Humvee. He is a former board member of General Dynamics, one of the world’s largest defense contractors. He co‑founded IP3 International, a nuclear energy consulting firm that sought to transfer nuclear technology to Saudi Arabia through the Trump White House, with Jared Kushner as a key contact, without nonproliferation safeguards. He received the Presidential Medal of Freedom from Donald Trump in 2020.

This is not an analyst. This is a defense contractor appearing on television to advocate for wars that would directly enrich the companies he runs and advises, while being introduced to millions of viewers as an independent “strategic analyst.” In 2009, the New York Timeswon a Pulitzer Prize for exposing this exact racket during the Iraq War: the Pentagon recruited retired generals as TV “analysts” who simultaneously held undisclosed financial ties to defense firms profiting from the wars they promoted. Keane is the same scam, seventeen years later, with better production values.

His motive: Money. AM General makes military vehicles. General Dynamics makes weapons systems. IP3 makes nuclear deals. Every war Keane advocates for on Fox News is a commercial for his own portfolio.


Count Seven: Lindsey Graham, the senator who has never fought anything except a primary

On February 15, 2026, Graham held a press conference in Israel, wearing a “Make Iran Great Again” hat, standing next to Reza Pahlavi and European Parliament President Roberta Metsola. He declared regime change is coming “in weeks, not months.”

On February 18: “All these ships are not coming here because it’s nice this time of year. We need military action, probably.”

On February 22: He told Axios he wanted Trump to ignore his own advisers and “pull the trigger.” He called opposing war “permitting malevolence to persist unchecked.”

He pushed Reza Pahlavi as Iran’s replacement leader, a man even Israeli intelligence acknowledges has zero support inside Iran. He compared the Iranian government to “religious Nazis.” He demanded U.S. troops on the ground in Tehran “to support the protesters”, protesters who no longer exist because the insurrection already failed.

Graham was catastrophically wrong about Iraq. Wrong about Libya. Wrong about Syria. He has never served in combat. He has never visited the family of a soldier killed in one of the wars he cheerled. And he is now the loudest voice in Washington demanding the next one.

His motive: Donor maintenance and media relevance. Graham’s campaigns are funded by defense‑industry PACs and pro‑Israel donors. His media appearances, which are his political oxygen, depend on saying the most hawkish thing possible at every opportunity. War is not a policy position for Graham. It is a personal brand.


Count Eight: The Democratic Party, accessory before, during, and after the fact

Reps. Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie introduced a bipartisan war powers resolution to force Congress to vote on Iran. Democratic leadership’s response: kill it. A senior Democratic staffer on the House Foreign Affairs Committee deliberately inflated defection projections to scare off supporters and prevent the vote from reaching the floor.

The quiet part: according to a senior foreign policy aide to Chuck Schumer, AIPAC‑aligned Senate Democrats want Trump to strike Iran on his own authority and absorb the backlash before the midterms. They want the war. They just want Trump’s name on it, not theirs.

Schumer himself, ahead of the June 2025 strikes, attacked Trump from the righturging him to be “tough” on Iran and not make “side deals” without Netanyahu’s approval. The Senate Democratic leader told a Republican president not to make peace without the permission of a foreign prime minister.

Hakeem Jeffries is doing nothing, which in Washington is the same as doing what the donors want.

Rep. Jared Moskowitz called the war powers resolution the “Ayatollah Protection Act.” Rep. Josh Gottheimer called for “preserving the flexibility needed to respond to real and evolving threats”, a euphemism for letting Trump bomb without a vote.

Not one of the seven Congressional Democrats who accused Israel of genocide in Gaza has condemned Iran’s mass killings. Not Rashida Tlaib. Not Katherine Clark. Not one. Silence, because condemning Iran would align them with Trump, and their political brand matters more to them than Iranian corpses.

Their motive: AIPAC spent $44.6 million on Congressional races in the 2023 to 2024 cycle, more than double the previous two cycles. Over a quarter of all privately funded Congressional foreign trips in the last decade went to Israel, courtesy of AIPAC’s nonprofit arm, more than trips to the entire Western Hemisphere and Africa combined. This weekend, 1,000 AIPAC top donors are meeting with 400 members of Congress at the annual summit. Democrats are not opposing this war because opposing it means losing the money. It is that simple.


Count Nine: The asset managers, the owners of both the weapons and the narrative

BlackRock, Vanguard, and State Street are the top three shareholders in Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman, and Raytheon. These same firms are top shareholders in the parent companies of every major American news network.

They don’t need to make phone calls. Their ownership structure is the phone call. When defense stocks rise, their funds rise. When their funds rise, their fees rise. War is not a policy outcome for these people. It is a revenue event.

FDD writes the policy papers. The papers become a think‑tank “analysis.” The analysis gets delivered on television by retired generals like Jack Keane, who sits on defense‑contractor boards, as “independent strategic assessment.” The talking points become “consensus.” The consensus becomes war. And the same three firms that own the weapons manufacturers own the networks broadcasting the consensus.

Their motive: Fiduciary duty, to themselves. A major regional war is the single most reliable catalyst for defense‑sector stock appreciation. Iran is not a country to these people. It is a position.


The payout structure

Here is the question no one on cable news will ask: why is every lever in Washington pushing toward war and not a single one pushing toward peace?

Because the incentive structure pays for war and punishes peace:

  • Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics get contracts. Exposed estimated value of a sustained Iran campaign: hundreds of billions over a decade.
  • BlackRock, Vanguard, State Street get portfolio appreciation across their defense holdings and the management fees that follow.
  • AIPAC gets loyalty, $44.6 million buys 400 Congressional meetings this weekend alone.
  • Miriam Adelson gets policy, $106 million bought a president; $250 million more is on the table.
  • FDD gets relevance, Iran is their only product; peace would bankrupt them.
  • Netanyahu gets an election narrative and the elimination of Israel’s only serious regional deterrent.
  • Pompeo gets a 2028 platform.
  • Graham gets airtime and donor maintenance.
  • Keane gets AM General and General Dynamics revenue.
  • Schumer and Jeffries get AIPAC’s continued protection from primary challengers.
  • The American public gets the bill, in blood, in dollars, in blowback, and in the next generation of enemies this war will create.

There is no countervailing institution with comparable money, access, or media power that profits from peace. The antiwar movement has no billionaire donors. It has no think tank on K Street. It has no super PAC. It has no annual summit where 1,000 donors meet 400 members of Congress over canapés.

That is why no one is promoting peace. Not because peace is impossible. But because peace is unprofitable, and in Washington, unprofitable is the same as unthinkable.


The bluff Iran called

Trump parked a carrier group in the Persian Gulf. Iran honeycombed the coastline with anti‑ship missiles, deployed submarines that fire while submerged, and flooded the strait with speedboat‑launched weapons. The armada has been pushed further and further from shore because a drone swarm of 300 would nearly exhaust the air defenses of the entire destroyer group.

The U.S. proposed a “symbolic exchange”, bomb an empty building, let Iran hit an evacuated base, call it even. Iran said no: any attack triggers full war and immediate closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Israel tried to exempt itself. Iran’s answer: an attack from anyone means war with everyone.

Saudi Arabia and the UAE told Washington: no airspace, no assistance, no participation. The former head of Saudi intelligence publicly called Israel genocidal. Grand Ayatollah Sistani warned that an attack on Iran’s supreme leader would trigger a fatwa for global jihad. Russian and Chinese naval vessels are moving into position near the Strait of Hormuz. A Chinese intelligence ship has taken station. Joint Russo‑Chinese exercises are being organized in the same waters.

The Pentagon knows what this means. Senior officials are privately warning of significant American casualties, munitions shortages, and a drawn‑out regional war with no exit strategy.

Every general who calls this “manageable risk” is either lying to the president or auditioning for a board seat.


The verdict

These are the names. These are the acts. These are the dollar amounts.

Pompeo celebrated a covert operation on social media while people died. Trump promised “help” that turned out to be CIA death squads. Netanyahu dictated American foreign policy from Mar‑a‑Lago and threatened to destroy any president who disobeyed. Adelson purchased that compliance for $106 million and offered an additional $250 million. FDD published the kill order in The Atlantic and called it analysis. Keane sold the war on Fox while chairing a military vehicle manufacturer. Graham demanded “regime change” from a podium in Tel Aviv wearing a novelty hat. Schumer told a Republican president not to make peace without Israel’s permission. And the entire Democratic establishment worked to prevent a Congressional vote that would force them to say out loud what they are doing.

The Cyrus Cylinder sits in the British Museum. It declared 2,564 years ago that all people have the right to choose their own religion, that the enslaved shall be freed, and that racial equality is the law of the land. That is the civilization these people want to incinerate, so Lockheed can beat earnings, Adelson can collect on her investment, Netanyahu can win in October, and Lindsey Graham can get ten more minutes on Fox News.

If they succeed, it will not prove American strength. It will prove that the United States is a rogue state with a flag, run by a cartel that has learned to dress up contract killings as foreign policy.

These are the names. These are the amounts. The only question left is whether anyone in this country still has the authority, or the nerve, to stop them.


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Scott Ortkiese

Scott Ortkiese

President and CEO of Faulkner Capital Holdings. He writes on geopolitics, energy markets, structured finance and American decline, and is the author of the forthcoming book The Decline of the American Empire.

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